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deskgameAgainst the Colts (4-6), things likely will be much closer. Indianapolis does its best work on the ground, and the Colts' defense has allowed the third-most yards rushing this season. deskgameIn a game between two concerning offenses, it’s hard to have faith in both units to contribute around 20 points, especially in a game that projects a heavy dose of rushing on each side. deskgameMuch of the Longhorns' success in the first round of the CFP was thanks to success at the line of scrimmage. Texas ran 292 yards and four touchdowns, led by RBs Jaydon Blue and Quintrevion Wisner. A repeat performance would all but guarantee a win for Texas, but it may not be as easy against an ASU defense that allows 118 rushing yards per game. deskgamePittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin thrives as an underdog. Tomlin’s career record ATS in that role is 20-6-3, and the Steelers are 3-0 this season.