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deskgameIowa State is unlikely to shut down Ward, but the Cyclones have been exceptional against the pass. All-Big 12 CBs Jontez Williams and Malik Verdon lead an Iowa State defense that surrendered 179 passing yards per game; the fewest in the conference. deskgameA matchup with the highest-scoring offense in FBS doesn’t bode well for the Cyclones. Miami scores 44 points per game, largely due to a breakout season from Ward. He set program records with 4,123 passing yards and 36 touchdowns. The Washington State transfer is also mobile, rushing for 196 yards and four scores. deskgameMilroe is special, but the Crimson Tide offense isn’t overwhelming. The Wolverines are a tough unit to score against. I expect Michigan to be locked in enough from the kickoff and end the Crimson Tide’s first drive with a punt. deskgameAs a comparison, in cold and rainy conditions at Tennessee in January of 2022, Tagovailoa passed for 205 yards as Miami scored three points. Tyreek Hill’s production is down now, too, and Jaylen Waddle is battling a knee injury.